Spend 25% of revenues on advertising to make consumers more aware of our service. 50, our maximum risk is actually $0. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. 01 to $0. PredictIt, a popular political. In 2022, overpayments within the SSI program topped $4. A federal court is allowing PredictIt to keep its political futures markets online while it pursues litigation against a federal agency trying to shut the site down. Analyze websites like predictit. The various markets — PredictIt, the Iowa market, overseas markets like Betfair in Britain and predecessors like the Irish sites Intrade and Tradesports — have had plenty of glitches through. This does not increase if you do arbitrage. 5M shares traded. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. PredictIt currently charges a 10% fee on profits made by buying and selling shares to cover the site's operating costs, and there is an $850 limit on how much of any one contract a person can hold. The CFTC has tried to stop Predictit, one of the most successful online prediction markets, from operating in the U. Unlike those betting sites, PredictIt operates in a similar manner to the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), offering investors the opportunity to trade predictions on the outcomes of a wide variety of political events. org competitors and alternatives. We use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Of course, spoofing requires spending money to buy shares, with no guarantee of profit, but this can be a small price to pay for this supposed. PredictItPredictIt Political Analysis is a blog that offers insights and commentary on the latest trends and events in politics and prediction markets. Candidate. If the outcome takes place, the yes shares are redeemed for $1 and the no shares expire worthless. Help companies get their products out by using our site. The first two sites offer futures contracts that expire at $1. View election betting odds for those. It began operating back in 2014 and, despite its somewhat niche subject matter, soon became quite popular. Mehmet Oz was a 63% favorite to defeat Democratic Lt. Just as companies like Robinhood and DraftKings have capitalized on the gamification of day trading and dearth of entertainment while millions found themselves stuck at home and in need of a distraction from the pandemic, PredictIt has benefited from an unprecedented election cycle. S. The CFTC realized that University of Victoria Wellington had turned this supposed "small scale educational" venture into a for-profit betting site. Buy Bitcoin in Europe. Login. Users can purchase shares of an outcome, like buying "Yes" or "No" shares of whether or not the Farm Bill will pass by June 30. Proponents of political betting – including economists like Jason Furman — argue it’s a better gauge of where voters stand than polling and is a hedging tool for. Commodity Futures Trading. If lots of people want to bet on the Democratic side, then that candidate’s price will go up. 24% BNBJust like exchanges, prediction markets trade assets–except it’s not stocks or crypto being traded, but outcomes. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election. TradeFair is an online trading platform that provides a secure, fast, and easy way to trade stocks, ETFs,. Most of these don’t actually process real-money trades from their members, and those that do – namely PredictIt – have been excluded from the oversight of US gambling. CryptoFind out everything you need to know about PredictIt before you play. And just like in Las Vegas for the NFL Championship, there will be plenty of proposition wagering available. Suppose you’re a manufacturer operating in today’s marketplace. Santos didn’t just like watching the demigods who inhabited that world; he had dreams of that kind of fame for himself. This is a list of sites where you can bet on politics. YOU are responsible for determining if it is legal for YOU to play any particular game or. predictions_1 = predictit. Number of elections simulated each hour. m. If the predicted outcome does not take place, the no shares are. 2,678Posts. Political betting site PredictIt to shut down after CFTC withdraws approval ( predictit. Predictit 's alternatives and competitors. PredictIt is not a gambling site like overseas sports betting parlors Paddy Power and Betfair, which offer some betting on elections. Most of these don’t actually process real-money trades from their members, and those that do – namely PredictIt – have been excluded from the oversight of US gambling. We like to assume that markets are efficient because if not, there's an opportunity for arbitrage, but for betting markets, this just isn't true. Why you won’t always find a working coupon codes at PredictIt. A maximum of 5,000 people in one market. The markets featured on the site have also become progressively wilder since inception: Some are effectively grim deathwatches, while for over a year PredictIt even ran markets on how many times. It operates on a much smaller scale, however. 3-66. Find Predictit's. PredictIt, a university-owned nonprofit platform for investors to trade. Kalshi and PredictIt are both great platforms for participating in prediction markets, each with their own unique strengths and weaknesses. The Washington Post reported that PredictIt spokesman Will Jennings said the site was accurate 70 to 80 percent of the time, although it was difficult to make a “blanket accuracy assessment, given the variety of markets. Instead, they had just revoked a no-action letter, even though that no-action letter was effectively ensuring that the CFTC would not go after the site, and its removal seemed like a foregone conclusion that the site would run afoul of the regulator at some point down the road. PredictIt is closing due to CFTC changing its mind Politics ( predictit. It’s a web site the place you could possibly place bets and win cash on political outcomes. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. T. According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. New Predictit jobs added daily. C. Follow PredictIt Political Analysis to get a deeper understanding of how the markets react to the news and what. More From DraftKings Network. Need help with PredictIt? We are happy to assist! Check out our. Jennings revealed that the election event has. 64% Ethereum. S. There are two problems here. 3: Polls. users that “the security of trader funds will not be affected by this action,” and that it’ll keep going until. Each dot represents a potential electoral outcome. 7-66. Traditional prediction markets like PredictIt and Kalshi use US dollars for the trading of outcomes and distribution of profits. Market the benefits of 'PredictIt' and why it is better than our competitors. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. by Feb. To put it simply, PredictIt allows customers to trade “yes” and “no” shares on the outcomes of future political events at prices ranging from $0. Election odds currently have Joe Biden at +138. Even while it lasts, PredictIt is not perfect; an $850-per-contract betting limit imposed by regulation means that long-shots are systematically overvalued on PredictIt. The other is a similar exchange from the University of Iowa, which has been active since the mid-1990s. Donald Trump is +150, and Michelle Obama is +1600. at the University of Iowa. 44-2. S. Political betting site fights regulators. org in July 2023 are ranked by their affinity to predictit. 00 for the winner, which can be traded at any price until their final value is met. They’re called betting exchanges. The site launched legally late 2014 in the U. A PredictIt review that explains how it works, what types of markets are offered and how to wager on political events at this legal betting site. November. 44 billion between 2022 and 2027, according to Technavio's latest market research report. A twitter rando with little identifying information is taking credit (edit: account just went private after complaining of harassment from Predictit users so tweet is unlinkable now, was@tnim__), claiming he lobbied for it as an act of revenge for Predictit banning him years ago. Advertisement Harry Crane is a professor of statistics at Rutgers. Regulators want it shut down. What that meant, essentially, is the CFTC allowed. . Predictit - Arizona Senate Race. Industry. A world-leading political predictions market led by a New Zealand university is set to close its doors after American regulators concluded it was breaching its terms of operation. For this reason, wagering on the site has certain restrictions, such as an $850 maximum bet limit per market. 1. Like Wright in Texas, Carey has made a significant effort to play up his connections to Trump, and his endorsement. “PredictIt staff are working. ” PredictIt, the political. I am literally at risk for $44 in the general election market, but that does not allow me to continue to trade. Shares of Democratic candidate. The top traffic source to marginalrevolution. PredictIt 65. But PredictIt now faces closure after falling foul of regulators, Sam Sachdeva reports. See how Predictit compares to similar products. Yes! Presidential prediction markets – and all prediction markets across most industries (i. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. PredictIt, a leading political prediction market, is closing its doors on Feb. Preprocess data and chose optimal parameters of prediction. I artificially draw the line between early web and cloud simply because the cloud enabled so many other web apps to become more. Predictit's top competitors include Kalshi, Consensus Point, and Augur. 1. BetFair uses odds just as American sportsbooks do when taking action on the results of games. His day job is running one of the country's largest political data. Business Services · District of Columbia, United States · <25 Employees. 01 to $0. org - Top 45 predictit. What I don't like about PredictIt is that they charge 5% on withdrawals plus other. PredictIt Market Probabilities. Election betting platform PredictIt must shut down for U. $25,654. Our Customers. Drill down into the main traffic drivers in each channel below. The CFTC has also recommended rejecting the request by Kalshi. So the site will only charge us $0. g. Join our Discord for discussion and help: project of Victoria University of Wellington, PredictIt has been established to facilitate research into the way markets forecast events. When Republicans and Democrats hold 50 seats each, control of the Senate is determined by the party that holds the vice presidency. Per PredictIt’s no-action letter, PredictIt users cannot make more than $850 in any position. By 2016, popular markets such as the Michigan primaries alone generated more than 2 million trades, in part because prominent pundits like James Carville announced on TV that they were betting on PredictIt. Whether it is U. After betting big on the past two presidential. com. “The whole idea of prediction markets, that groups of people with different perspectives can make more accurate predictions than the ‘experts,’ is almost like. PredictIt told its U. By order of the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, PredictIt and its co-plaintiffs will have their case heard in District Court, and the political futures market may continue to operate until it concludes. it looks like we could be in for an election week, or perhaps even longer,” he added. com, Dr. The agency rejected a 2012 proposal by the North American Derivatives Exchange (NADE) on the basis that the proposed. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. 1 min read 7th Dec 2020 2 answers No comments. Both had similar residuals in 2016, both correctly classified to go for Clinton in 2016, are both likely to go for Biden in 2020 and yet have a 10 point difference between PredictIt and FiveThirtyEight. Well, because of the Sandwich bot issue, I couldn't be bothered to figure out how to bridge funds & LP via a relayer as some roundabout way to actually place bets (which was an intermediate way the team found to avoid the bots, but wasn't exactly the best UI) while my crypto experience extended to having some play-funds on Aave & more reading than. The most underutilized channel is Paid Search. 00:00. By Danny Funt. Because of the market's structure, smart money cannot (given the first two reasons) or will not (given the third reason) fix all. You can buy and sell shares of real-world events and earn money if your predictions are correct. However, PredictIt is expected to liquidate its event contracts by February 15, 2023. Menu. . Founder & CEO John Aristotle Phillips. What Was PredictIt?The CFTC is expected to render a decision Friday on whether or not Kalshi can offer election-based prediction contracts. Whether they are more accurate than polls doesn't change thatLike PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Washington, DC, 20003, United States. # 108,710 6,054 Country Rank. ) are legal. 2024 Democratic Party Presidential Nominee Odds Tracker. If I don't get my favorable outcome, at least I'll make some money. PredictIt is somewhat larger and more active, with something like $1 million in its individual market, but that is still not much money in the grand scheme of things. PredictIt. PredictIt, a market that built its name by letting Americans bet on who will be elected to Congress or the next president, has lost its legal authority to. 69 for Republicans to winThe Commodity Futures Trading Commission has ordered that PredictIt, a popular political betting site, shut down by mid-February 2023. A judge ruled that PredictIt can continue operating until a final decision is made in that case, despite the CFTC’s efforts to shut it down. November 14, 2022. Reveal predictit. Discover the full list of predictit. # 1. Compare your predictions with other traders and join the market for the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election. . org) submitted 1 year ago by gwern to r/slatestarcodex. agency in charge of regulating online betting. 6%: $882,927. One of the highest courts in the country agrees that in 2014 PredictIt was issued a. Project 2. S. The political betting site PredictIt places his odds of being elected president in 2024, expressed as a share price, at 23 cents, slightly below Trump’s and well below Biden’s, but far above. org — LessWrong [ Question ] Recommendation for a good international event betting site. [laughter] Alright, so PredictIt is what’s called a prediction market. PredictIt provides many markets with futures contracts linked to political issues, ranging from ongoing policy outcomes to political elections. 4. Discover the ultimate resource for Predictit – your one-stop destination for free, easy, and fast information!. 01:26 John Aristotle Phillips: It sounds like a lot. Though PredictIt comes across as quiz show meets Caesars Palace sportsbook, the five-year-old site doesn’t have bookies and oddsmakers like the sports gambling parlors that populate Las Vegas or. Republicans win. The site, launched in 2014 as a sort of educational. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. org News and Media website This domain provided by whois. . The site slightly favors Clinton to win North Carolina, while giving an edge to Trump in Florida. The Fifth Circuit panel issued the decision on July 21 following a split 2-1 vote. PredictIt is structurally inefficient. The site is supported by Aristotle International, Inc. Trump is back on top in PredictIt's Republican nomination. AD Users are able to bet on events, such as 2024 nominations for president and whether marijuana becomes federally rescheduled this year, using bank deposits or a credit card, but PredictIt also accepts cryptocurrency. Looks like predictit is missing a Code of Conduct. (Christopher. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of Wellington [2] with support from Aristotle, Inc. PredictIt market in Minnesota See also: PredictIt markets in the 2020 presidential election What is a PredictIt market?. It’s not like PredictIt is happy about this. Gambling platform PredictIt has been told to shut up shop by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for failure to comply with regulations. Because of the market's structure, smart money cannot (given the first two reasons) or will not (given the third reason) fix all. Betfair, which this site uses, does not have that problem; their odds add up to about 100%. PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. Submit. Based on my experience thus far, however, I have no reason to believe PredictIt is anything other than what they claim to be– a legal nonprofit with a background in. 2. No. org after the election, but I was unable to join since I don't live in. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. Proponents of political betting – including economists like Jason Furman — argue it’s a better gauge of where voters stand than polling and is a hedging tool for. S. Before Iowa, Betfair, and competitor PredictIt gave Pete Buttigieg only an 8 percent chance of winning the most state delegate equivalents (which he did, pending a recanvass). Cicada: Mar 2019 #1: You made a claim , followed by " I don't know if it's true" Talking Tom: Mar 2019 #3: Betting sites have proven validity. Analyze any website or app. UPDATED Nov. PredictIt, the political. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. # 1. trustworthiness, child safety measures, traffic rank, similar websites, server location, WHOIS data, and more. PredictIt is a platform where you can trade shares on the most predicted political events and outcomes. You're one click away from the most comprehensive, unmatched analyst expertise in tech, in-depth private company data and a platform that brings it all together. elections, the odds of a “red wave” seemed pretty favorable. TOP LINE Politics is full of bold, outlandish predictions. Suggest an edit. With PredictIt. There are a few places where you can "place bets" or "buy shares" in current events such as electoral results, polling, Supreme Court decisions, etc…Other prediction markets have faced similar regulatory scrutiny. Posted onAugust 5, 2022 by Yves Smith. In the years following the 2014 No-Action letter, Victoria University, in conjunction with Aristotle International, would launch PredictIt, a site that became one of the most followed indicators of future political leanings in the United States, alongside sites like 538 and RealClearPolitics, which have made a name for themselves projection. is technically illegal but the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has generally laid off sites like PredictIt that function as “ trading markets . 2023Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). To put it simply, PredictIt allows customers to trade “yes” and “no” shares on the outcomes of future political events at prices ranging from $0. org, you can try to predict political events and win money while doing so. ) from libraries like Scikit, Statsmodels or Tensorflow. 12 for Democrats to win, . Click Now. What makes Lemmy one of the best alternatives is its versatility. High fees on profits and withdrawals. S. When/if PredictIt's odds become more efficient and get close to 100%, this site's main page will include the odds. Election odds currently have Joe Biden at +138. PredictIt is a betting exchange, like a stock market. It captured GOP strength in key states that almost all mainstream pollsters. PredictIt— Here's the deal: more than 100,000 people are now betting on politics through the website PredictIt. Few events listed other than politics. One example is BetFair, which is predominantly for sports betting. See how Predictit compares to similar products. “This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in the insights they provide. According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. [3] The company's office is located in Washington, D. Predictit, the most often referenced one, has a fee structure that makes it horribly inefficient: they take 10% of all winnings on a given bet and 5% of all withdrawals from the site. Deposit $80 when you open your account and PredictIt will deposit an additional $80. Regarding the variety in markets offered, Kalshi definitely stands out for offering a wider range of markets for users to participate in. PredictItPredictIt is a prediction market that allows you to trade on the outcomes of political and social events. org – basically, an options market for elections – is based out of Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand, and has been legally operating in America since 2014 under a “no-action” letter from the Commodity Futures Trading Division (CFTC), based out of Washington, D. Even if the CFTC follows through on its initial decision to shut the site down, it’s hard not to feel that PredictIt has, in some more. org for free in terms of their online performance: traffic sources, organic. “It’s not the platforms that are the policy issue,” he said. 88 for Republicans to win. com Analytics and market share drilldown here. As a young boy growing up in East London, Paul Krishnamurty and his friends would bet on pretty much everything. PredictIt has long been cited as one of the more accurate predictors of. Trade on the world's most highly-debated topics like crypto, politics, sports, current events,. There are other sites that operate like PredictIt. High fees along with restrictions blocking automatic. Crypto prediction markets,. 3%: $1,329,129. " In November 2019, the site had 200,000 subscribers and 3,000 active traders each day. PREDICT meaning: 1. We do this to. Visualize trends, 3D orbitals, isotopes, and mix compounds. by df fd. PredictIt told its U. Rank in the United States. As I write, his FiveThirtyEight. The site has become a mainstay in virtually all. Compare your predictions with other traders and see how the market reacts to news and events. org in July 2023 are ranked by their affinity to predictit. ” PredictIt lets everyone see what everyday Americans, rather than just “experts,” think about future political events, without filtering those opinions through potentially biased pollsters. e. Ways to buyJOHN ARISTOTLE PHILLIPS: It's like a stock market, but for politics. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic. Saved Stories. Although prediction markets can work well, they don’t always. 205 Pennsylvania Avenue SE. provider of data processing and verification services. Loss. PredictIt is also a valuable research tool for academics and journalists who want to understand how markets forecast events. Explore the markets on Trump administration, such as whether he will run for president or the House of Representatives in 2022 or 2024, and see how other traders are betting on. How to Buy Large Amounts of Bitcoin. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. PredictIt is a New Zealand -based online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. Those heavily favored to be Trump states have (less than 15% change of Biden win on FiveThirtyEight) are actually less favored to go for Trump on PredictIt. 9. com (202) 903-4221 The agency said the university had agreed PredictIt would be operated by itself or its professors, but Aristotle Inc. It didn't seem right that online politics gambling counts as a business, so what is the appropriate. According to Nate Silver’s site, this election is still close to a tossup, whereas the wagering on PredictIt suggests it’s all but decided. PredictIt is a platform where you can trade shares on the outcome of political events. To engage with some new technologies, you should try a project like sspaeti's 20 minute data engineering project. hide. 99 per share. Unlike those betting sites, PredictIt operates in a similar. PredictIt had Biden leading overall at 68 cents to Trump. Site has approval of government officials. The political betting site PredictIt places his odds of being elected president in 2024, expressed as a share price, at 23 cents, slightly below Trump’s and well below Biden’s, but far above. According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. is on the verge of being shut down—even though studies suggest that such markets may predict elections better than polls do. Free mathematical football predictions and scores for today matches. Less than one year after committing to PredictIt full time, Rainbow Jeremy is on the top of the heap, making between $15,000 and $25,000 a month betting on congressional elections and Trump’s. 65 at PredictIt. 4-17. 2024 US Presidential Election Odds Tracker. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. PredictIt and Betfair as of Tuesday morning at 11 a. I'm thinking of making a bet on PredictIt. Although there are many config variables, defaults should be enough. com at 2012-04-02T14:30:48Z (11 Years, 7 Days ago) , expired at 2025-04-02T14:30:48Z (1 Year, 357 Days left). Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. , a U. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it,. org, down from a 2020 high of 57 percent in late. users in February, according to an order from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Even if you see a coupon code box at the PredictIt checkout, there are several reasons why you won't always find a working discount. Shares can be. In other words, wisdom of the forecasting elite. In early 2015, PredictIt saw about 2 million total shares traded. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. Predictit. My position is: I've been meaning to. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. In Trump's first year in office, PredictIt's population of traders has grown to 80,000 from 50,000 as the White House deals political junkies a litany of new policy, personnel and, yes, Twitter. Cage began scanning PredictIt for QAnon theories and betting against them. On Jan 18, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals in New Orleans laid out a timeline for the case. PredictIt was told to shutter in the U. Alternatively, they could hold onto the shares until after Election Day and get paid out $1 per share for a. But, nested under their “Sports” categories is an obscure sport called “Politics”! One of the markets here is in fact the same one on PredictIt: “Trump Exit Date”. Pricing. I think you would be better off building something on top of Augur. 12K subscribers in the Augur community. November. A maximum of 5,000 people in one market. [4] The market was initially launched on 3 November 2014. org for free in terms of their online performance: traffic sources, organic keywords, search rankings, authority, and much more. On the 2022 campaign trail he once joked in. USBets: “PredictIt users are not taking the forced cessation of their political prediction market lying down, as some of the site’s traders and academic users and its market technology provider Aristotle International filed a federal lawsuit Friday against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). 9, 2022, in US Federal. The. We examine individual-level trading data from several markets in the PredictIt exchange to determine what strategies correlate with financial success. August 5, 2022 at 1:23 PM · 2 min read. PredictIt has an $850 limit on any one market, for any one candidate or other potential outcome. The PredictIt website offers armchair political pundits a way to make some pocket change by placing small wagers on election outcomes and the actions of politicians. Consequential issues, […](Disclaimers: I work in the financial industry, though not in a way related to prediction markets. Forecastr is a. Rajiv Sethi focuses on the likelihood that PredictIt will have to wind down operations, and the messiness and gaming opportunities that will result from having to close out contracts that expire after PredictIt ends operations. QAnon—the conspiracy theory that elite Democrats, government officials, and celebrities are part of a cannibalistic, child-sex-trafficking cult, and Donald Trump. Betting Prediction Markets Practical. Low $850 cap on maximum position in a contract. PredictIt 65. Visit PredictIt Insight to learn from the wisdom of the crowd and make smarter bets on the future. com election betting odds by maxim lott and john stossel live betting odds on the 2024 presidential election, and more! who will win? biden, trump, harris, desantis?. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party. 07% take fee) FAIRLAY (betting exchange, variable complex commission structure, 0. 15, 2023 unless they resolve sooner under their respective market rules. 89 for Republicans to win. Find Predictit's competitors, compare Predictit's features and pricing vs. It’s a way to monetize things like 2022 midterm predictions. Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to justify the forced wind down in. Get the full predictit. The site is an excellent alternative or complement to online political betting markets. His campaign released internal polling that put him in the lead, with his support doubling once voters were told that Trump supports him. track the election with a red/blue map of the us updated daily using the latest state polls. 2024 Republican Party Presidential Nominee.